Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 179.521226 214.147703 257.097957 315.573074 395.256824 503.533230 668.558034
2024-12-29 140.502756 182.375447 241.635585 336.546886 495.902056 779.362418 1409.345119
2025-01-05 113.298767 153.683942 215.058816 323.096368 530.376358 978.740719 2370.584224
2025-01-12 98.688916 138.644075 202.996572 325.826512 592.209498 1295.988052 4621.515372
2025-01-19 86.758703 124.970329 189.167115 319.433767 631.148921 1614.924716 9105.840296
2025-01-26 82.652011 122.902841 194.324618 351.720076 785.598785 2615.333874 49226.367134
2025-02-02 81.459090 125.351249 208.065808 408.610876 1069.424805 5417.602609 NaN
2025-02-09 74.675553 116.722744 198.204868 405.079991 1152.947280 7672.681531 NaN
2025-02-16 69.903020 111.078341 193.283225 412.798625 1296.079746 12653.898462 NaN
2025-02-23 65.691469 105.905741 188.341255 418.830526 1447.159778 22605.292323 NaN
2025-03-02 62.395083 102.064065 185.594823 430.620137 1656.062565 52599.111482 NaN
2025-03-09 59.080301 97.782954 181.083488 435.425597 1842.867878 151582.183318 NaN
2025-03-16 54.082542 90.063376 168.405471 412.806736 1844.035939 343576.342005 NaN
2025-03-23 52.199388 88.547735 170.511184 443.871646 2375.429017 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 48.278290 82.335656 159.923806 423.921140 2404.990019 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 45.808245 78.920843 155.847252 427.958568 2736.378328 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 43.096647 74.712883 149.054969 418.514489 2898.125963 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 42.628122 75.294606 154.969626 466.555335 4256.019091 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 43.026876 77.836972 166.883257 553.242714 8023.846925 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 40.939649 74.483558 161.281852 547.788703 9109.010669 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 39.434994 72.342056 158.935259 559.723825 11644.507634 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 37.993219 70.214052 156.292354 569.082716 14922.385990 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 36.830345 68.641894 155.116858 587.455443 21048.689676 NaN NaN